I once saw someone's Mero Share portfolio with 14 different companies in it. They were proud of how "diversified" it was. Eleven of them were hydropower companies.
That's not diversification. That's one bet split into eleven pieces.
It's an easy mistake to make in Nepal, because our market is heavily weighted toward a few sectors, and hydropower IPOs come out constantly. If you apply for every IPO that opens, you'll end up with a pile of hydro shares almost by default.
What diversification actually means
The idea is simple: don't let one company, one sector or one type of investment decide your whole financial future. If one thing goes badly, the rest should hold up differently.
The key word is differently. Owning more things only helps if those things react to different events.
Think about what can hit hydropower companies at the same time:
- A weak monsoon that reduces water flow
- Floods or landslides damaging projects (we've seen this several times)
- Delays in transmission lines, so power can't reach the grid
- Changes in power purchase agreement terms or electricity export policy
- Rising interest rates, since most projects carry heavy bank loans
If one of these happens, it doesn't matter whether you own 2 hydro companies or 12. They're likely to fall together.
The sectors on NEPSE
NEPSE groups listed companies into sectors. The main ones you'll see are:
- Commercial banks
- Development banks
- Finance companies
- Microfinance
- Life insurance
- Non-life insurance
- Hydropower
- Manufacturing and processing
- Hotels and tourism
- Trading
- Investment companies
- Mutual funds
- Others
Even across sectors, there's overlap. Banks, development banks, finance companies and microfinance are all lending businesses. They're all affected by Nepal Rastra Bank's monetary policy, interest rates and loan defaults. Owning a commercial bank, a development bank and a microfinance company spreads your risk a bit, but not as much as it looks.
Questions to ask about your own holdings
Open Mero Share and look at your portfolio honestly. Then ask:
- What sectors am I in? Add up how much of your total value is in each one. If one sector is more than half, that's a concentration.
- What one event could hurt most of my holdings at once? A rate hike? A bad monsoon? A tourism slump? A new regulation on banks?
- Is all my money in shares? Or do I also have savings, FDs or other assets that behave differently?
- If I own mutual funds, what do they hold? Often it's the same big banks and hydro companies I already own directly, so I'm more concentrated than I think.
- How much is in a single company? If one company is 30–40% of your portfolio, one bad annual report could seriously hurt.
It goes beyond shares
For a lot of Nepali families, the biggest concentration risk isn't in the share market at all.
- Land in one place. Many families have most of their wealth in a single plot. Land can be a good asset, but it's hard to sell quickly, prices can stall for years, and a road project or zoning change can affect it either way.
- Every rupee saved in one cooperative. When some cooperatives ran into trouble in recent years, families who'd put everything in one place were hit hardest.
- Income from one source. If the whole family depends on one person's job abroad, that's a concentration too.
- Gold. Some families hold a lot of their savings in gold jewellery. It's useful, but its price moves too, and it earns no income.
Diversification applies here as well. It's about your whole financial life, not just your Mero Share screen.
A simple way to think about it
I like to think in layers:
- Safety layer: emergency fund in a savings account. Not invested at all.
- Stable layer: fixed deposits, maybe some debentures from strong issuers. Lower but steadier returns.
- Growth layer: shares and equity mutual funds, spread across several sectors that react to different things.
How much goes into each layer depends on your goals, your timeline and your risk tolerance. Someone 25 years from retirement can have a bigger growth layer than someone needing the money in three years.
Within the growth layer, a mix might include a couple of strong banks, an insurance company, a manufacturing or consumer business, a hydro company you've actually researched, and maybe a mutual fund. That's a lot more resilient than eleven hydro companies.
Don't overdo it
You don't need 40 stocks you can't keep track of. If you own so many companies that you can't name half of them, or never read their reports, you're not diversified. You're just cluttered.
For most individual investors, something like 8–15 well-chosen holdings across genuinely different areas, plus stable money outside the market, is plenty. If you don't have time for that, a mutual fund or two can do some of the spreading for you. Just check what they hold. Here's my post on questions to ask before investing in a mutual fund.
Rebalancing, without the jargon
Over time, some investments grow faster than others, and your mix drifts. Say you planned for shares to be 40% of your savings. After a strong year, they're 55%. That means you're now taking more risk than you planned.
Once or twice a year, check your mix. If it has drifted a lot, you can bring it back, either by adding new money to the smaller parts or by trimming the part that grew. Keep in mind that selling shares has costs: broker commission, capital gains tax and so on. Don't do it every month.
What diversification can't do
Diversification won't save you from a market-wide crash. When NEPSE falls hard, almost everything falls with it. That's why the stable and safety layers exist.
What it does do is make it much less likely that one bad company, one bad sector or one bad monsoon wipes you out. And in a market like ours, where news can move whole sectors overnight, that protection is worth a lot.
General information, not personal financial advice. Rules, rates and fees change, so check with the official source (SEBON, NRB, CDSC, IRD or the Nepal Insurance Authority) before you act. Have a question? Leave it in the comments.